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Disclaimer:

This report is based on extensive research conducted by CyberPeace Research using publicly available information, and advanced analytical techniques. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions presented are based on the data available at the time of study and aim to provide insights into global ransomware trends.

The statistics mentioned in this report are specific to the scope of this research and may vary based on the scope and resources of other third-party studies. Additionally, all data referenced is based on claims made by threat actors and does not imply confirmation of the breach by CyberPeace. CyberPeace includes this detail solely to provide factual transparency and does not condone any unlawful activities. This information is shared only for research purposes and to spread awareness. CyberPeace encourages individuals and organizations to adopt proactive cybersecurity measures to protect against potential threats.

CyberPeace Research does not claim to have identified or attributed specific cyber incidents to any individual, organization, or nation-state beyond the scope of publicly observable activities and available information. All analyses and references are intended for informational and awareness purposes only, without any intention to defame, accuse, or harm any entity.

While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, CyberPeace Research is not liable for any errors, omissions, subsequent interpretations and any unlawful activities of the findings by third parties. The report is intended to inform and support cybersecurity efforts globally and should be used as a guide to foster proactive measures against cyber threats.

Executive Summary: 

The 2024 ransomware landscape reveals alarming global trends, with 166 Threat Actor Groups leveraging 658 servers/underground resources and mirrors to execute 5,233 claims across 153 countries. Monthly fluctuations in activity indicate strategic, cyclical targeting, with peak periods aligned with vulnerabilities in specific sectors and regions. The United States was the most targeted nation, followed by Canada, the UK, Germany, and other developed countries, with the northwestern hemisphere experiencing the highest concentration of attacks. Business Services and Healthcare bore the brunt of these operations due to their high-value data, alongside targeted industries such as Pharmaceuticals, Mechanical, Metal, Electronics, and Government-related professional firms. Retail, Financial, Technology, and Energy sectors were also significantly impacted.

This research was conducted by CyberPeace Research using a systematic modus operandi, which included advanced OSINT (Open-Source Intelligence) techniques, continuous monitoring of Ransomware Group activities, and data collection from 658 servers and mirrors globally. The team utilized data scraping, pattern analysis, and incident mapping to track trends and identify hotspots of ransomware activity. By integrating real-time data and geographic claims, the research provided a comprehensive view of sectoral and regional impacts, forming the basis for actionable insights.

The findings emphasize the urgent need for proactive Cybersecurity strategies, robust defenses, and global collaboration to counteract the evolving and persistent threats posed by ransomware.

Overview:

This report provides insights into ransomware activities monitored throughout 2024. Data was collected by observing 166 Threat Actor Groups using ransomware technologies across 658 servers/underground resources and mirrors, resulting in 5,233 claims worldwide. The analysis offers a detailed examination of global trends, targeted sectors, and geographical impact.

Top 10 Threat Actor Groups:

The ransomware group ‘ransomhub’ has emerged as the leading threat actor, responsible for 527 incidents worldwide. Following closely are ‘lockbit3’ with 522 incidents and ‘play’ with 351. Other Groups are ‘akira’, ‘hunters’, ‘medusa’, ‘blackbasta’, ‘qilin’, ‘bianlian’, ‘incransom’. These groups usually employ advanced tactics to target critical sectors, highlighting the urgent need for robust cybersecurity measures to mitigate their impact and protect organizations from such threats.

Monthly Ransomware Incidents:

In January 2024, the value began at 284, marking the lowest point on the chart. The trend rose steadily in the subsequent months, reaching its first peak at 557 in May 2024. However, after this peak, the value dropped sharply to 339 in June. A gradual recovery follows, with the value increasing to 446 by August. September sees another decline to 389, but a sharp rise occurs afterward, culminating in the year’s highest point of 645 in November. The year concludes with a slight decline, ending at 498 in December 2024 (till 28th of December).

Top 10 Targeted Countries:

1. The United States consistently topped the list as the primary target probably due to its advanced economic and technological infrastructure.
2. Other heavily targeted nations include Canada, UK, Germany, Italy, France, Brazil, Spain, and India.
3. A total of 153 countries reported ransomware attacks, reflecting the global scale of these cyber threats

Top Affected Sectors:

1. Business Services and Healthcare faced the brunt of ransomware threat due to the sensitive nature of their operations.
2. Specific industries under threats:
   1. Pharmaceutical, Mechanical, Metal, and Electronics industries.
   2. Professional firms within the Government sector.
3. Other sectors:
   1. Retail, Financial, Technology, and Energy sectors were also significant targets.

Geographical Impact:

The continuous and precise OSINT(Open Source Intelligence) work on the platform, performed as a follow-up action to data scraping, allows a complete view of the geography of cyber attacks based on their claims. The northwestern region of the world appears to be the most severely affected by Threat Actor groups. The figure below clearly illustrates the effects of this geographic representation on the map.

Ransomware Threat Trends in India:

In 2024, the research identified 98 ransomware incidents impacting various sectors in India, marking a 55% increase compared to the 63 incidents reported in 2023. This surge highlights a concerning trend, as ransomware groups continue to target India's critical sectors due to its growing digital infrastructure and economic prominence.

Top Threat Actors Group Targeted India:

Among the following threat actors ‘killsec’ is the most frequent threat. ‘lockbit3’  follows as the second most prominent threat, with significant but lower activity than killsec. Other groups, such as ‘ransomhub’, ‘darkvault’, and ‘clop’, show moderate activity levels. Entities like ‘bianlian’, ‘apt73/bashe’, and ‘raworld’ have low frequencies, indicating limited activity. Groups such as ‘aps’ and ‘akira’ have the lowest representation, indicating minimal activity. The chart highlights a clear disparity in activity levels among these threats, emphasizing the need for targeted cybersecurity strategies.

Top Impacted Sectors in India:

The pie chart illustrates the distribution of incidents across various sectors, highlighting that the industrial sector is the most frequently targeted, accounting for 75% of the total incidents. This is followed by the healthcare sector, which represents 12% of the incidents, making it the second most affected. The finance sector accounts for 10% of the incidents, reflecting a moderate level of targeting. In contrast, the government sector experiences the least impact, with only 3% of the incidents, indicating minimal targeting compared to the other sectors. This distribution underscores the critical need for enhanced cybersecurity measures, particularly in the industrial sector, while also addressing vulnerabilities in healthcare, finance, and government domains.

Month Wise Incident Trends in India:

The chart indicates a fluctuating trend with notable peaks in May and October, suggesting potential periods of heightened activity or incidents during these months. The data starts at 5 in January and drops to its lowest point, 2, in February. It then gradually increases to 6 in March and April, followed by a sharp rise to 14 in May. After peaking in May, the metric significantly declines to 4 in June but starts to rise again, reaching 7 in July and 8 in August. September sees a slight dip to 5 before the metric spikes dramatically to its highest value, 24, in October. Following this peak, the count decreases to 10 in November and then drops further to 7 in December.

CyberPeace Advisory:

1. Implement Data Backup and Recovery Plans: Backups are your safety net. Regularly saving copies of your important data ensures you can bounce back quickly if ransomware strikes. Make sure these backups are stored securely—either offline or in a trusted cloud service—to avoid losing valuable information or facing extended downtime.  
2. Enhance Employee Awareness and Training: People often unintentionally open the door to ransomware. By training your team to spot phishing emails, social engineering tricks, and other scams, you empower them to be your first line of defense against attacks.  
3. Adopt Multi-Factor Authentication (MFA): Think of MFA as locking your door and adding a deadbolt. Even if attackers get hold of your password, they’ll still need that second layer of verification to break in. It’s an easy and powerful way to block unauthorized access.  
4. Utilize Advanced Threat Detection Tools: Smart tools can make a world of difference. AI-powered systems and behavior-based monitoring can catch ransomware activity early, giving you a chance to stop it in its tracks before it causes real damage.  
5. Conduct Regular Vulnerability Assessments: You can’t fix what you don’t know is broken. Regularly checking for vulnerabilities in your systems helps you identify weak spots. By addressing these issues proactively, you can stay one step ahead of attackers.

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Conclusion:

The 2024 ransomware landscape reveals the critical need for proactive cybersecurity strategies. High-value sectors and technologically advanced regions remain the primary targets, emphasizing the importance of robust defenses. As we move into 2025, it is crucial to anticipate the evolution of ransomware tactics and adopt forward-looking measures to address emerging threats. 

Global collaboration, continuous innovation in cybersecurity technologies, and adaptive strategies will be imperative to counteract the persistent and evolving threats posed by ransomware activities. Organizations and governments must prioritize preparedness and resilience, ensuring that lessons learned in 2024 are applied to strengthen defenses and minimize vulnerabilities in the year ahead.

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Recognizing As the Ministry of Electronic and Information Technology (MeitY) continues to invite proposals from academicians, institutions, and industry experts to develop frameworks and tools for AI-related issues through the IndiaAI Mission, it has also funded two AI projects that will deal with matters related to deepfakes as per a status report submitted on 21st November 2024. The Delhi court also ordered the nomination of the members of a nine-member Committee constituted by the MeitY on 20th November 2024 (to address deepfake issues) and asked for a report within three months.‍

Funded AI projects :

The two projects funded by MeitY are:

1. Fake Speech Detection Using Deep Learning Framework- The project was initiated in December 2021 and focuses on detecting fake speech by creating a web interface for detection software this also includes investing in creating a speech verification software platform that is specifically designed for testing fake speech detection systems. It is set to end in December 2024. 
2. Design and Development of Software for Detecting Deepfake Videos and Images- This project was funded by MeitY from January 2022 to March 2024. It also involved the Centre for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC), Kolkata and Hyderabad as they have developed a prototype tool capable of detecting deepfakes. Named FakeCheck, it is designed as a desktop application and a web portal aiming to detect deepfakes without the use of the internet. Reports suggest that it is currently undergoing the testing phase and awaiting feedback.

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Apart from these projects, MeitY has released their expression of interest for proposals in four other areas which include: 

• Tools that detect AI-generated content along with traceable markers,
• Tools that develop an ethical AI framework for AI systems to be transparent and respect human values,
• An AI risk management and assessment tool that analyses threats and precarious situations of AI-specific risks in public AI use cases and;
• Tools that can assess the resilience of AI in stressful situations such as cyberattacks, national disasters, operational failures, etc. 

CyberPeace Outlook

Deepfakes pose significant challenges to critical sectors in India, such as healthcare and education, where manipulated content can lead to crimes like digital impersonation, misinformation, and fraud. The rapid advancement of AI, with developments (regarding regulation) that can’t keep pace, continues to fuel such threats. Recognising these risks, MeitY’s IndiaAI mission, promoting investments and encouraging educational institutions to undertake AI projects that strengthen the country's digital infrastructure comes in as a guiding light. A part of the mission focuses on developing indigenous solutions, including tools for assessment and regulation, to address AI-related threats effectively. While India is making strides in this direction, the global AI landscape is evolving rapidly, with many nations advancing regulations to mitigate AI-driven challenges. Consistent steps, including inviting proposals and funding projects provide the much-needed impetus for the mission to be realized.

References

1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/technology/meity-dot-at-work-on-projects-for-fair-ai-development/articleshow/115777713.cms?from=mdr
2. https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/meity-seeks-tools-to-detect-deepfakes-label-ai-generated-content-101734410291642.html
3. https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/India/meity-funds-two-ai-projects-to-detect-fake-media-forms-committee-on-deepfakes/ar-AA1vMAlJ
4. https://indiaai.gov.in/

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Executive Summary:

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We have identified a post addressing a scam email that falsely claims to offer a download link for an e-PAN Card. This deceptive email is designed to mislead recipients into disclosing sensitive financial information by impersonating official communication from Income Tax Department authorities. Our report aims to raise awareness about this fraudulent scheme and emphasize the importance of safeguarding personal data against such cyber threats.

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Claim:

Scammers are sending fake emails, asking people to download their e-PAN cards. These emails pretend to be from government authorities like the Income Tax Department and contain harmful links that can steal personal information or infect devices with malware.

Fact Check: 

Through our research, we have found that scammers are sending fake emails, posing as the Income Tax Department, to trick users into downloading e-PAN cards from unofficial links. These emails contain malicious links that can lead to phishing attacks or malware infections. Genuine e-PAN services are only available through official platforms such as the Income Tax Department's website (www.incometaxindia.gov.in) and the NSDL/UTIITSL portals. Despite repeated warnings, many individuals still fall victim to such scams. To combat this, the Income Tax Department has a dedicated page for reporting phishing attempts: Report Phishing - Income Tax India. It is crucial for users to stay cautious, verify email authenticity, and avoid clicking on suspicious links to protect their personal information.

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Conclusion:   

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The emails currently in circulation claiming to provide e-PAN card downloads are fraudulent and should not be trusted. These deceptive messages often impersonate government authorities and contain malicious links that can result in identity theft or financial fraud. Clicking on such links may compromise sensitive personal information, putting individuals at serious risk. To ensure security, users are strongly advised to verify any such communication directly through official government websites and avoid engaging with unverified sources. Additionally, any phishing attempts should be reported to the Income Tax Department and also to the National Cyber Crime Reporting Portal to help prevent the spread of such scams. Staying vigilant and exercising caution when handling unsolicited emails is crucial in safeguarding personal and financial data.

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• Claim: Fake emails claim to offer e-PAN card downloads.
• Claimed On: Social Media
• Fact Check:  False and Misleading 

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