Preparing for the Quantum Age: What Should Quantum Computing Policy Look Like?

Ayndri
Ayndri
Research Analyst - Policy & Advocacy, CyberPeace
PUBLISHED ON
Apr 19, 2025
10

Introduction

Quantum mechanics is not a new field. It finds its roots in the works of physicists such as Niels Bohr in the 1920s, and has informed the development of technologies like nuclear power in the past. But with developments in science and engineering, we are at the cusp of harnessing quantum mechanics for a new wave of real-world uses in sensing and metrology, computing, networking, security, and more. While at different stages of development, quantum technologies have the potential to revolutionise global security, economic systems, and digital infrastructure. The science is dazzling, but it is equally urgent to start preparing for its broader impact on society, especially regarding privacy and digital security. This article explores quantum computing, its threat to information integrity, and global interdependencies as they exist today, and discusses policy areas that should be addressed.

What Is Quantum Computing?

Classical computers use binary bits (0 or 1) to represent and process information. This binary system forms the base of modern computing. But quantum computers use qubits (quantum bits) as a basic unit, which can exist in multiple states ( 0, 1, both, or with other qubits) simultaneously due to quantum principles like superposition and entanglement. This creates an infinite range of possibilities in information processing and allows quantum machines to perform complex computations at speeds impossible for traditional computers. While still in their early stages, large-scale quantum computers could eventually:

  1. Break modern encryption systems
  2. Model complex molecules for drug discovery
  3. Optimise global logistics and financial systems
  4. Accelerate AI and machine learning

While this could eventually present significant opportunities in fields such as health innovation, material sciences, climate modelling, and cybersecurity, challenges will continue to arise even before the technology is ready for commercial application. Policymakers must start anticipating their impact.

Threats

Policy solutions surrounding quantum technologies will depend on the pace of development of the elements of the quantum ecosystem. However, the most urgent concerns regarding quantum computing applications are the risk to encryption and the impact on market competition.

1. Cybersecurity Threat: Digital infrastructure today (e.g., cloud services, networks, servers, etc.) across sectors such as government, banking and finance, healthcare, energy, etc., depends on encryption for secure data handling and communications. Threat actors can utilise quantum computers to break this encryption. Widely used asymmetric encryption keys, such as RSA or ECC, are particularly susceptible to being broken. Threat actors could "harvest now, decrypt later”- steal encrypted data now and decrypt it later when quantum capabilities mature. Although AES-256, a symmetric encryption standard, is currently considered resistant to quantum decryption, it only protects data after a secure connection is established through a process that today relies on RSA or ECC. This is why governments and companies are racing to adopt Post- Quantum Cryptography (PQC) and quantum key distribution (QKD) to protect security and privacy in digital infrastructure.

2. Market Monopoly: Quantum computing demands significant investments in infrastructure, talent, and research, which only a handful of countries and companies currently possess. As a result, firms that develop early quantum advantage may gain unprecedented competitive leverage through offerings such as quantum-as-a-service, disrupting encryption-dependent industries, or accelerating innovation in pharmaceuticals, finance, and logistics. This could reinforce the existing power asymmetries in the global digital economy. Given these challenges, proactive and forward-looking policy frameworks are critical.

What Should Quantum Computing Policy Cover?

Commercial quantum computing will transform many industries. Policy will have to be flexible and be developed in iterations to account for fast-paced developments in the field. It will also require enduring international collaboration to effectively address a broad range of concerns, including ethics, security, privacy, competition, and workforce implications.

1. Cybersecurity and Encryption: Quantum policy should prioritise the development and standardisation of quantum-resistant encryption methods. This includes ongoing research into Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) algorithms and their integration into digital infrastructure. Global policy will need to align national efforts with international standards to create unified quantum-safe encryption protocols.

2. Market Competition and Access: Given the high barriers to entry, regulatory frameworks should promote fair competition, enabling smaller players like startups and developing economies to participate meaningfully in the quantum economy. Frameworks to ensure equitable access, interoperability, and fair competition will become imperative as the quantum ecosystem matures so that society can reap its benefits as a whole.

4. Ethical Considerations: Policymakers will have to consider the impact on privacy and security, and push for the responsible use of quantum capabilities. This includes ensuring that quantum advances do not contribute to cybercrime, disproportionate surveillance, or human rights violations.

5. International Standard-Setting: Setting benchmarks, shared terminologies, and measurement standards will ensure interoperability and security across diverse stakeholders and facilitate global collaboration in quantum research and infrastructure.

6. Military and Defence Implications: Militarisation of quantum technologies is a growing concern, and national security affairs related to quantum espionage are being urgently explored. Nations will have to develop regulations to protect sensitive data and intellectual property from quantum-enabled attacks.

7. Workforce Development and Education: Policies should encourage quantum computing education at various levels to ensure a steady pipeline of talent and foster cross-disciplinary programs that blend quantum computing with fields like machine learning, AI, and engineering.

8. Environmental and Societal Impact: Quantum computing hardware requires specialised conditions such as extreme cooling. Policy will have to address the environmental footprint of the infrastructure and energy consumption of large-scale quantum systems. Broader societal impacts of quantum computing, including potential job displacement, accessibility issues, and the equitable distribution of quantum computing benefits, will have to be explored.

Conclusion

Like nuclear power and AI, the new wave of quantum technologies is expected to be an exciting paradigm shift for society. While they can bring numerous benefits to commercial operations and address societal challenges, they also pose significant risks to global information security. Quantum policy will require regulatory, strategic, and ethical frameworks to govern the rise of these technologies, especially as they intersect with national security, global competition, and privacy. Policymakers must act in collaboration to mitigate unethical use of these technologies and the entrenchment of digital divides across countries. The OECD’s Anticipatory Governance of Emerging Technologies provides a framework of essential values like respect for human rights, privacy, and sustainable development, which can be used to set a baseline, so that quantum computing and related technologies benefit society as a whole.

References

PUBLISHED ON
Apr 19, 2025
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